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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAGENDA REPORT 2003 0618 CC REG ITEM 09IMOORPARK CITY COUNCIL AGENDA REPORT ITEM q • ----- Lo_ -_ts -200 3 TO: Honorable City Council FROM: Barry K. Hogan, Community Development DirectZ1,1714, Prepared By: Scott Wolfe, Principal Planner DATE: June 5, 2003 (CC Meeting of 6/18/03) SUBJECT: Consider the Adoption of a City Policy for the Application of Photovoltaic Systems on New Construction and Existing Facilities within the City BACKGROUND On February 6, 2002, the City Council adopted Resolution 2002- 1938, approving Vesting Tentative Tract Map No. 5381 and the accompanying Residential Planned Development No. 99 -02. Condition No. 19(v) of this resolution requires that the CC &R's for this development include "Language requiring a photovoltaic system to be installed and maintained for each residential dwelling unit, if the City adopts a policy and standards for photovoltaic systems prior to January 31, 2004, or approval of the first Final Map, whichever is later." Subsequently, the City Council adopted its City Council Goals and Objectives for 2002/2003. In these Goals, Departmental Objective G -17 states that the Community Development shall "Analyze feasibility and if feasible, prepare policy and standards requiring installation of a photovoltaic system for residential projects for consideration by Planning Commission and City Council by June 30, 2003." DISCUSSION The feasibility of requiring the use of photovoltaic systems on residential uses within the City has been evaluated by the Community Development staff based upon current costs and the benefits obtained from the systems. Also evaluated were other S: \Community Development \ADMIN \COUNCIL \MiSC Reports \photovoltaics.doc Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 2 impacts which may accompany this type of requirement, particularly from design and aesthetic standpoints. The cost of photovoltaic generation has been steadily dropping, as technological advancements in the composition and production of the photovoltaic cells have been made. Recent advancements have allowed the utilization of thinner and lighter matrices for the placement of the silicon (or other photovoltaic material) crystals (cells) used for electrical generation. While most "panels" still suspend the cells between panes of glass or similar material, new technologies have allowed the development of thin, flexible film within which the photovoltaic cells are suspended, as well as the ability to place these cells within roof tiles in order to integrate the cells architecturally into a structure. The efficiency of cells is increasing even while the size and cost of them are shrinking. Nascent technologies include photovoltaic cells suspended in paint, which would allow electrical generation over an entire surface area. While these advances are showing promise, they are not yet commercially available. At this time, photovoltaic systems for single family residential homes are generally limited to large panels or solar roof tiles. Both forms of cells can provide a considerable portion of the electrical energy requirements for a residence. With a large enough system, enough energy can be produced during daylight hours that night time power usage would be nearly matched, resulting in almost no charges from the electric company. Additionally, battery back -up systems can be integrated into these photovoltaic systems so that power can be maintained during blackouts. In fact, with a large enough system of cells, and a large enough battery system, a home could derive all of its electrical needs from photovoltaic sources. While this may seem to be an ideal solution to many of the power generation problems which have plagued California in recent years, there are constraints which reduce the feasibility of these systems. The two major constraints are cost to the homeowner, and the aesthetic impact on the neighborhoods in which they are utilized. Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 3 Costs While the cost of photovoltaic material production is decreasing as technological advances occur, the decrease in price has not kept pace with the decrease in prices of other technologies, such as communications or computer technologies. The purchase of a photovoltaic system which will provide the majority of a home's power needs still requires a major up -front expense, and the savings noted will not pay for themselves until the later stages of the system's life span. In order for these systems to reach a point where they will pay for themselves within their life spans, the State offers incentives for purchasers of such systems that meet certain requirements. The incentives include a 50% rebate on the cost of the system, and tax credits for up to 150 of the cost of the system. If the system is financed as part of a new home purchase, refinance, or with a home equity loan, savings are seen in the mortgage interest deduction. These factors can bring the cost of a system into a range where energy savings will eventually exceed the actual money expended on the system, assuming that the cost of electricity from the power company continues to increase over the life of the system. As an example, prices for photovoltaic systems are generally running at about $8,000 - $10,000 per Kilowatt peak. A household with an electric bill of $125.00 per month would need a 4.5 Kilowatt peak system to provide 910 of the household electrical needs. For this example, it is assumed that 9% of the household needs can be reduced through conservation efforts. The assumptions used in this example are as follows: Tax Status: Married filing jointly Annual Income: $120,000 Mortgage: $450,000 @ 6.5% fixed for 30 years Cost of System: $36,000 before incentives $16,124 after incentives House Position: South facing roof with optimal pitch Power cost growth: 2.5% per year Under these assumptions, even with the mortgage interest deduction from the financing of the system, the system will result in energy costs $68 per year more than they would be if the power were only bought from the electric company. This Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 4 higher cost would diminish over time as the cost of purchased power increases. In its sixth year, the system would see its first savings over the cost of purchased power: $8 per year. This savings would gradually increase over time, but would eventually be tempered by the decrease in mortgage interest deductions as the loan approaches pay -off. At the end of the mortgage period, the photovoltaic system would have saved the homeowner $4,718.00 in energy costs, far below the $16,124.00 cost of the system. Also important to remember is that this does not include any maintenance costs associated with the equipment, and assumes system prices at the lower end of the range as well as optimal conditions for placement of panels for maximum generation. Less than optimal conditions and higher costs will negatively impact feasibility of these systems. The primary factors affecting the economic feasibility of these systems (aside from the incentives) are the size of the system and the rate of increase of purchased power. A smaller system would reduce the amount of power generated, increasing dependence upon purchased power, but the initial cost of the system and the associated finance costs would be less, resulting in an ability for the system to eventually pay for itself, although this point may be 15 years or more from the time of installation. Similarly, changes in "break- even" point on climb quickly over the the system will always power. However, if dramatically, the phot more quickly. purchased power rates the systems as well. course of financing, it be more expensive to ru the cost of purchased ovoltaic system may pay can affect the If rates do not is possible that n than purchasing power increases for itself much There are a wide variety of variables which can impact the feasibility of these systems. Economic variables, such as purchased power costs, photovoltaic equipment costs, and mortgage interest rates, as well as physical variables, such as orientation of roof planes, the growth of trees on adjacent properties, and surrounding topography, can have a tremendous impact on the feasibility of a given system on a given home. Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 5 Aesthetic Issues The aesthetic issues associated with these systems arise from their very nature. The cells need to be exposed to the greatest amount of light possible to generate power. This generally means that they are mounted as high as possible on a given property in order to minimize shadows from surrounding buildings, trees, and topography. In addition to high places being preferred, the orientation of the panels must be aligned with the track of the sun across the sky. This means that the panels must be on a roof plane which faces a range of directions between southeast and southwest. Thus, they cannot always be placed facing away from streets or other areas of visibility from the public. The farther from the generally southern direction the panels face, the more the panels will need to be tilted to maximize their efficiency. Tilting of the panels can raise them above the surface of the roof, further accentuating their placement. The prominent placement ensures that the visibility of the panels will also be maximized. Camouflaging of the cells is difficult, as tinting of the cells to blend with a given color (while possible) results in a substantial loss in efficiency. Because the cells are typically covered with glass, reflectivity becomes an issue as well. As the sun moves across the sky, the panels can be mirror -like in their ability to reflect sunlight causing glare and visual impacts where a typical roofing material would not. Even attempts to blend the panels into a roof using dark gray tiles will be foiled by the reflectivity of the panels. As with tinting, attempts to reduce the reflectivity of the cell covering results in a loss of efficiency. Many visual impacts can be softened with the planting of landscaping or the use of screens. In the case of photovoltaic systems, the use of these techniques is limited as they often result in screening the systems from the sunlight necessary for their efficient function. At least one company has produced photovoltaic cells built into slate -like roofing tiles. These tiles allow the system to be installed without mounting panels above the roof. The tiles can be interspersed with non - photovoltaic tiles to spread the tiles and reduce impact of the color and reflectivity of the system. Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 6 These are perhaps the best way to minimize the visual impact that these systems produce, but they have a higher cost associated with them, and generally require more work as they most often will require a complete re- roofing of a house to install them. Conclusions The contemplated requirement for photovoltaic systems to be installed in all new residential structures is likely premature given the state of technology at the present time. Optimal conditions, which will not occur in the case of the majority of homes in the City, result in only a partial reduction of purchased power. Attempts to reach 100 percent generation of needed power requires an investment of funds which will likely not be recouped during the life of the system. Further, current feasibility of even the smaller systems is dependent upon state incentive programs, the availability of which cannot be relied upon in future years. Similar conclusions can be drawn about the use of these systems for multiple family residential developments, as well as commercial and industrial projects. These larger projects may have large flat roof areas upon which these systems could be installed. However, as was demonstrated by the residential example above, as the system size increases to accommodate more of the potential energy demands, the costs go up dramatically as well. Even with State incentives, and accompanying tax benefits, the "break- even" point for these systems will be in the last few years of financing, given a 30 year loan, unless the cost of purchased power rises in excess of 2.5% per year. Incentives are lessened for owners of properties that are rented to separately metered tenants, as the owner will bear the burden of the financing, while the tenant will benefit from the savings in power costs. The State and the purveyors of electricity are offering incentives to entice people to utilize these systems. There is no guarantee that these incentives will continue, leaving open the possibility that mandatory installation will render any further construction infeasible due to the expense of complying with such a requirement. Even if the incentives continue and the power costs rise, the estimates here have assumed a 30 year system life, which is probably very generous. Additionally, the assumptions include no maintenance costs, which is not Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 7 realistic, especially if the system lives are expected to reach 30 years. The inclusion of these factors into the assumptions can quickly drive the costs into even higher ranges. However, advances in this area of technology continue to occur. Even with the state of technology today, there are many homeowners who are opting to utilize the photovoltaic systems available. While it may not be feasible to require all homes to have photovoltaic systems installed, it might be prudent to require structures to be constructed with the appropriate generic roof mounting hardware and flashed conduits installed to allow residents to avail themselves of these systems should they become more feasible in the future. This would enable each homeowner to determine at what point cost and benefit reach a point that warrants use of these systems in their homes. Should the City Council determine that this type of requirement is worth consideration, staff would advise that the City Council also consider establishing standards which would apply to the installation and placement of these systems. As discussed above, the installation of these systems can cause serious visual impacts within neighborhoods and larger viewsheds. While the City's ability to regulate these systems is limited by State and Federal laws, there is some legitimate ability of the City to exercise authority to protect the visual environment. STAFF RECODONDATIONS 1. At this time determine that requiring installation of photovoltaic systems on all new single family residential construction is infeasible given the costs of the current technologies; 2. Direct staff to add to standard conditions a requirement for all new residential construction to incorporate roof hardware to enable photovoltaic systems to be installed in the future without removal of roofing material; 3. Direct staff to bring to the Planning Commission for recommendation to the City Council, proposed standards for the placement and treatment of photovoltaic systems in residential areas, as well as in commercial and industrial developments, should property owners wish to voluntarily install photovoltaic systems. Honorable City Council June 18, 2003 Page 8 Attachments: Photovoltaic System Cost Estimate Photovoltaic System Savings Estimate Clean Power Estimator RESULTS (Moorpark, CA) Build System PV System Size (ac) 4.5 kW • Cost Before Rebate (ac) $8,000 per kWJ Tilt Direction 302 . South S stem Life Maintenance Cost Loan Life —' $0 per year ASSUMPTIONS Electric Bill Annual escalation $1,500 per year - 2.5% per Payment Method New Home Loan Loan Life Loan Rate 30 years 6.50% Home Loan $450,000 Tax Filing Status Taxable Income [Married - jointly __ J$120,000 per year Southern California Edison, Domestic Service (Schedule D) Place cursor over the symbols marked 0 above for help Press here if results do not show or if you are Qettina error messages Powered by Clean Power Research. 01998 -2002 All rights reserved. Page 1 of 1 This system will: • Cost $16,124 ($36,000 before incentives) • Have a net cost of $6 per month in the first year • Meet 91% of current electricity consumption • Produce /save 8,390 kWh of electricity in the first year • Eliminate 10,404 lbs of CO2 emissions in the first year CC ATTACHMENT 1 (ems 5.r http: / /www .clean- power.com/cec /default.asp 6/6/2003 Clean Power Estimator RESULTS (Moorpark, CA) Cumulative Cash Flow PV System Size (ac) 4.5 kW Cost Before Rebate (ac) $8,000 per kW --3- Tilt Direction 30° South System Life Maintenance Cost Loan Life I $0 per year ASSUMPTIONS Electric Bill Annual escalation $1,500 per year 2.5% per, year . Payment Method New Home Loan Loan Life Loan Rate 30 years 6.50%° Home Loan $450,000 Tax Filing Status Taxable Income Married -jointly A J$120,000 per year Southern California Edison, Domestic Service (Schedule D) Place cursor over the symbols marked Iabove for help Press here if results do not show or if you are getting error messages Powered by Clean Power Research. 01998 -2002 All rights reserved. M1 $3,000 i Ell I (3,000) 2003 Page 1 of 1 Cumulative Cash Flaw ( PV = S1,138) • Net Savings 2018 l- w Cumulative Net Cash Flow 203: (Sum of the Net Cash Flows in previous years - Not discountec CC ATTACHMENT 2 nnrA�p r- .r •• �/ .Jl. o.A J http: / /www .clean- power.com/cec /default. asp 6/6/2003 Cumulative Year Net Cash Flow Net Cash Flow 2003 $ (68) $ (68) 2004 $ (r 1) $ (120) 2005 $ (38) $ (158) 2006 S(23) $(181) 2007 $ (7) $ (188) 2008 $8 $(18o) 2009 $24 $(156) 2010 $40 $(116) 2011 $55 $(61) 2012 $71 $10 2013 $87 $98 2014 $103 $201 2015 $120 $321 2016 $136 $457 2017 $152 $609 2018 $168 $777 2019 $184 $961 2020 $200 $1,161 2021 $216 $1,377 2022 $232 $1,609 2023 $247 $1,856 2024 $262 $2,119 2025 $277 $2,396 2026 $292 $2,688 2027 $306 $2,994 2028 $320 $3,314 2029 $333 $3,647 2030 $345 $3,992 2031 $357 $4,350 2032 $368 $4,718 CC ATTACHMENT 2 nnrA�p r- .r •• �/ .Jl. o.A J http: / /www .clean- power.com/cec /default. asp 6/6/2003