HomeMy WebLinkAboutAGENDA REPORT 2024 0403 CCSA REG ITEM 09B POWERPOINTCity of Moorpark
Long Term Financial Plan
City Council Consideration
April 3, 2024
Presentation
Agenda
•Background
•Development & Review of Long-Term Financial
Plan Assumptions
•Long Term Financial Plan
•Financial Scenarios
•Recommendation
Background
•City of Moorpark has a long history of financial stewardship.
–City Council direct fiscal policies
•Investment Policy
•Reserve Policy
•Purchasing Policy
–Strong Fiscal Management
•Retirement funded at 97% per 2022 actuarial
•Other Post Employment benefits super funded at 185% per 2022 actuarial
•Ended last 7 years with multi-million $ budget surpluses
•“Pay -go” philosophy on capital improvement projects = No General Fund Debt Service
•Traditionally enjoyed strong General Fund (GF) reserves
–Recognized by GFOA for transparency, accuracy in reporting and compliance
•Annual Comprehensive Financial Reporting (Awarded for decades)
•Annual Budgeting (Awarded 2020)
Background
•City of Moorpark faces fiscal threats
–Rising Expenses
•GF subsidies (Landscape & Parks maintenance)
•Service Contracts
•Human Resource expenses (compensation and benefits)
–Resources needed for:
•Public Safety
•Transportation / Infrastructure maintenance and
rehabilitation
•Addition services (trails, public facilities, parks etc)
–Other Factors
•Lagging regional economy
•Limited financial resources (no auto malls, big box stores)
•Revenue structure (low prop. tax)
Background
•Goal 3, Objective 3.5: “Financial Sustainability”
City Council Goal
•Tool designed to highlight and project financial
sustainability
•Not accounting, not budgeting
•Assist with projecting impacts of current and future policy
decisions.
City Council Directed staff to develop a long-term
financial plan
•Flexible to economic uncertainty
•Reflective of local economy and resources
•Updated and presented annually
•Adopted and remain a “living document”
LTFP should be:
Background
(cont’d)
Committee met twice in Q1 2024 to
review and finalize LTFP.
Referred to Administration, Public
Safety and Finance Committee for
review, direction, finalization and
recommended to City Council
Long-Term
Financial Plan
Assumptions
Assumptions are the most
important element of any LTFP
•Historical revenues / expenditures
•Changes to Consumer Price Index
•Regional & local economy
Ability to project into the
future
•In doing so, assumes every dollar is collected and
expended.
Assumptions – Population Growth City of Moorpark Population
Changes – 1990 to 2021
Assumptions – Property Tax History
$ 0
$ 500,000
$ 1,000,000
$ 1,500,000
$ 2,000,000
$ 2,500,000
$ 3,000,000
$ 3,500,000
$ 4,000,000
$ 4,500,000
19
9
9
-
0
0
20
0
0
-
0
1
20
0
1
-
0
2
20
0
2
-
0
3
20
0
3
-
0
4
20
0
4
-
0
5
20
0
5
-
0
6
20
0
6
-
0
7
20
0
7
-
0
8
20
0
8
-
0
9
20
0
9
-
1
0
20
1
0
-
1
1
20
1
1
-
1
2
20
1
2
-
1
3
20
1
3
-
1
4
20
1
4
-
1
5
20
1
5
-
1
6
20
1
6
-
1
7
20
1
7
-
1
8
20
1
8
-
1
9
20
1
9
-
2
0
20
2
0
-
2
1
20
2
1
-
2
2
20
2
2
-
2
3
20
2
3
-
2
4
Property Taxes
City of
Moorpark
Property Tax
Breakdown
Assumptions – Sales tax (7.25%)
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
$3,747,284 $3,679,295 $3,992,211 $3,967,466 $4,088,872 $4,336,676 $4,040,141 $4,575,526 $5,219,884 $4,948,566
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
CITY OF MOORPARK - 10 YEARS SALES TAX HISTORY
Assumptions – General Fund Transfer History
$999,787
$1,165,975
$1,202,407
$1,360,393
$1,469,077
$1,335,666
$1,685,621
$1,495,638
$1,340,430
$1,154,621
$1,196,027
$1,060,566
$-
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
$1,600,000
$1,800,000
Ax
i
s
T
i
t
l
e
06/30/2013 06/30/2014 06/30/2015 06/30/2016 06/30/2017 06/30/2018 06/30/2019 06/30/2020 06/30/2021 06/30/2022 06/30/2023 06/30/2024
GF Transfer $999,787 $1,165,975 $1,202,407 $1,360,393 $1,469,077 $1,335,666 $1,685,621 $1,495,638 $1,340,430 $1,154,621 $1,196,027 $1,060,566
GF Transfer
Assumptions –
Employee
Compensation
HISTORICAL COLA ADJUSTMENTS-MOORPARK
3
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25
Cost of Living Adjustment vs .
Consumer Price Index (LA Area) by Fiscal Year
COLA CPI - LA Mar
10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25
COLA 0.00%0.00%0.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%0.00%2.00%2.00%7.00 3.00
CPI -LA Mar 1.90%3.00%2.00%1.30%1.00%0.50%1.70%2.70%3.80%2.70%1.90%2.20%8.50%3.70%TBD
Assumptions –
Public Safety
Cost Trends
Public Safety Costs Trend
75/23 /2022
Assumptions
•No General Fund Contributions to:
–Capital Improvements
•Street maintenance ($1.5M per year
target per Pavement Management
Program)
•Facility replacement
–No Service Enhancements
Long Term Financial Plan
DETAILED OVERVIEW
Long-Term Financial Plan
$0
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
$35,000,000
2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34
2023 10-Year Financial Plan
GF Revenues
GF Expenses
Long-Term Financial Plan
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Scenario – 15% Exp. Reduction
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Scenario – 0.25% Sales Tax
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Scenario – 0.50 % Sales Tax
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Scenario–
Increase in Prop.
Tax Assessed
Valuation
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Scenario– High Sales Tax Provider
Projected
Deficit (FY
27/28)
Recommendations
Administration,
Finance & Public
Safety Committee and
staff recommend
adoption of the LTFP.
*Direct staff to
integrate plan into
budget annually for
City Council review
and adoption
City of Moorpark
Long Term Financial Plan
City Council Consideration
April 3, 2024