HomeMy WebLinkAboutAGENDA REPORT 2025 0917 CC REG ITEM 09A POWERPOINTSeparating Myths from Realities
Challenges Undocumented Immigrants Face and Their Economic Impact
in Ventura County
A Presentation
For the Moorpark City Council
Jamshid Damooei, Ph.D.
Professor and Executive Director of
Center for Economics of Social Issues (CESI)
Demographic Profile and Economic Impact
of Undocumented Immigrants
in Ventura County
Ideas to Focus On, Findings to Share, and
Conclusions to Reach
Demographic Profile of Undocumented
Immigrants in Ventura County
Economic Impacts
Tax Contribution
Interconnectedness Between Undocumented
Immigrants and Every Person in Our County and
Beyond
Integration of Undocumented Immigrants Is the
Way Forward
Demographic Profile: Undocumented Immigrants and Their
Families in Ventura County
Takeaways
Undocumented families
count for over 10% of the
total Population of Ventura
County.
42% of undocumented
families were born in the
United States.
We need to think about the
tragedy of separating
children from their parents
and other members of their
families.
Separation of family
members is the greatest
disinvestment in the lives
of other children.
49,097
36,200
85,297
Number of people
US citizen child under 18
years old living with
undocumented parents
Size of Family
undocumented and Citizen
Size of Undocumented
Immigrants' Family in
Ventura County
10.1%
42.4%
Proportion of Famlies
Over County's
Population
Proportion of U.S.-Born
Living With Their
Undocumented Parents
Proportion of Undocumented
Families Over Total County's
Population and Living With
US-Born Children
Demographic Profile: Age & Race/Ethnicity
Takeaways
Primarily Latinos
A small proportion
of young or old
Mainly in the
working age
Helping the County
with its emerging
and soon fast
escalation of the
older age population
Improving the
County’s
dependency ratio
both economically
and for the long-term
care needs of the
County
1,280 103
44,412
168
3,109
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
White Black Latino Mixed/other Asian
American
Race and Ethnicity of
Undocumented Immigrants in
Ventura County
2,551
5,644
13,165
16,149
8,677
2,771
115
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Less
than 18
18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and
over
Age of Undocumented
Immigrants in Ventura County
Demographic Profile: Undocumented Immigrants & Their English
Language Isolation and Length of US Residency
Takeaways
Some 33% of
households have English
Language Isolation.
Spanish is the
predominant language
spoken in the
households of
undocumented
immigrants.
Only a small proportion
have been living in the
US for less than 10
years.
78.3% for more than 10
years 31% for more than
20 years, and even 9%
for longer than 30 years
4,650
14,091
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Number of
Households
that are
Linguisically
Isolated by
Status
Total Number
of
Undocumented
Population
Households
Linguistic
Isolation of
Undocumented
Immigrants
in 2021
40,700
2,050 883
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Spanish South or
Central
American
Indian
languages
Filipino,
Tagalog
Languages Spoken in
Undocumented
Immigrants Households
in Ventura County
21.7%
78.3%
30.6%
8.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
% of
Residency
10 years or
less
% or
Residency
11 years or
More
% of
Residency
21 years or
More
% of
Residency
More than
30 Years
Year of US Residency of
Undocumented
Immigrants in Ventura
County
Industries of Employment Within Ventura County
Takeaways
A significant
proportion is working
in Agriculture, Retail
Trade,
Manufacturing, and
Construction.
However, their
participation is not
limited to one or a
few industries.
They have an active
presence in the
service sector.
12,789
3,530
3,943
560
1,464
5,980
482
1,802
966
499
3,477
Agriculture and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation, Warehousing
annd Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, insurance and real
estate
Professional Services
Education and Health
Services
Information
Other Services (except public
administration)
Industries of Employment of
Undocumented Population in
Ventura County, 2021
39.1%
8.4%
6.0%
2.3%
7.3%
9.1%
1.0%
2.1%
0.7%
3.0%
10.2%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%
Agriculture and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation, Warehousing and
Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, insurance and real estate
Professional Services
Education and Health Services
Information
Other Services (except public
administration)
Industries of Employment as a Proportion of
Labor force in the Industry in Ventura County
Economic Challenges & Lack of Affordability that Undocumented
Immigrants Face in Ventura County
Takeaways
Undocumented workers
are paid the lowest wage
within the County.
The low pay contributes
to a high proportion of
lack of affordability for a
dignified life in the
County.
73% of renters are
burdened.
39% of renters, among
them are severely
burdened, which means
they pay more than 50%
of their income towards
rent. This leaves very
little for other necessities
of their lives.
$27
$31
$20
$14
$19
$27
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
All U.S.-born Immigrant Undocumented
Immigrant
Lawful
Resident
Naturalized
U.S. citizen
Median Hourly Wage By Workers
Immigration Status in
Ventura County in 2021
73%
39%
46%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Burdened
Renters
Severely
Burdened
Renters
Burdened
Owners
Severely
Burdened
Housing
Owners
Housing Burden of
Undocumented Immigrants in
Ventura County
Economic Impacts
Takeaways
Undocumented
immigrants in Ventura
County contribute $3.3
billion directly towards
the County’s GDP,
which accounts for 8.1%
of its direct GDP.
Taking into account the
indirect and induced
contribution to its total
value added (county
GDP), the amount
reaches $5.1 billion or
12.3% of its total GDP
in 2022.
The contribution of
undocumented
immigrants is invaluable
and significant.
Value Added from IMPLAN Model, Data Year 2022, Dollar Year 2022
Direct Indirect Induced Total
Value Added $ 3,313,820,782 $ 841,806,331 $ 915,709,216 $ 5,071,336,329
8.1%
91.9%
Impact of Direct Value Added of
Undocumented Immigrants Work over
Ventura County Gross Domestic
Products (GDP)
Value Added by Undocumented Migrants over GDP
Value Added by Everyone Except Undocumented Migrants
over GDP
12.3%
87.7%
Impact of Total Value Added of
Undocumented Immigrants Work
over Ventura County Gross Domestic
Products (GDP)
Value Added by Undocumented Migrants over GDP
Value Added by Everyone Except Undocumented
Migrants over GDP
Economic Impacts
Takeaways
The contribution of
undocumented
immigrants to agriculture
is impressive, and it is
hard to imagine the
country can have a viable
agriculture without the
contribution of
undocumented
immigrants.
Manufacturing,
construction, wholesale
Trade, and Retail trades
are other critical sectors
that, without the
contribution of
undocumented
immigrants they will be
paralyzed.
$859,226,308
$346,168,142
$522,508,417
$32,914,824
$468,802,851
$532,604,885
$58,305,380
$202,872,358
$69,019,809
$29,230,833
$192,166,974
Agriculture
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation & Warehousing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, Insurance and Real Estate
Professional Services
Education & Health Services
Information
Other Services
Value Added of Undocumented
Immigrants Work by Industry (Total Value
Added Around $3.3 Billion)
57%
13%
10%
3%
11%
13%
1%
5%
2%
2%
11%
Agriculture
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation &
Warehousing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, Insurance and Real
Estate
Professional Services
Education & Health
Services
Information
Other Services
Impact of Value Added of
Undocumented Immigrants Work
over Ventura County Gross
Domestic Products (GDP) by
Industry
Economic Impacts
Takeaways
It is essential to recognize that direct
impacts are only one of three
impacts. We also need to consider the
effects through industry linkages and
their ripple effects, and the impact of
spending by households. They are
called indirect and induced.
Examining induced and indirect
effects reveals another critical issue:
the interdependence among all
economic entities within an economy.
Undocumented immigrants through
immigration and the induced creation
of jobs for others contribute to higher
production within the economy.
.
35,492
70%$2,111,375,249
66%$3,313,820,782
65%
$5,698,018,313
66%
15,569
30%$1,066,125,564
34%$1,757,515,547
35%
$2,907,973,982
34%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Employment Impact Labor Income Value Added Output Impacts
IMPLAN Employment Impact, Labor Income, Value
Added and Output Impacts of Direct vs. Total and
Indirect + Induced Over Total in Ventura County
Direct over Total Indirect + Induced over Total
Economic Impacts
Takeaways Continue…….
These are presented in the chart, and let us go through it.
•Undocumented immigrants create more than 15.5 thousand additional jobs for others.
•Their work results in almost $1.1 billion of additional labor income for others in the county.
•Their work in total creates around $5.1 billion towards the county’s GDP, out of which $3.3 billion is due to their
direct contribution.
•Value added is the outcome of the direct contribution of undocumented immigrants. However, their work creates a
much higher level of economic activities, which is measured by total output, which in the case of Ventura County is
around $5.7 billion directly and another $2.9 billion through indirect and induced production.
•Output in IMPLAN model shows the total economic activities that an entity or an industry generate (total value of
production that occurred during a year).
Labor income includes two parts. First, employee compensation is the total payroll cost of wage and salary employees
to the employer. This includes wages and salaries, all benefits (e.g., health, retirement), and payroll taxes (both sides
of social security, Unemployment insurance taxes, etc.). It is also referred to as a fully loaded payroll.
The second part consists of Proprietor Income (PI). PI consists of payments received by self-employed individuals and
unincorporated business owners. It represents the current production income of sole proprietorships, partnerships, and
tax-exempt cooperatives. It includes the capital consumption allowance and is recorded on Federal Tax Form 1040C.
It excludes dividends, monetary interest received by nonfinancial businesses, and rental income received by persons
not primarily engaged in the real estate business. A net loss to the proprietor can result from labor income.
Economic Impacts
$859,226,308
$346,168,142
$522,508,417
$32,914,824
$468,802,851
$532,604,885
$58,305,380
$202,872,358
$69,019,809
$29,230,833
$192,166,974
Agriculture
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation & Warehousing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, Insurance and Real
Estate
Professional Services
Education & Health Services
Information
Other Services
Value Added of Undocumented
Immigrants Work by Industry (Total
Value Added Around $3.3 Billion)
57%
13%
10%
3%
11%
13%
1%
5%
2%
2%
11%
Agriculture
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation & Warehousing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Finance, Insurance and Real
Estate
Professional Services
Education & Health Services
Information
Other Services
Impact of Value Added of
Undocumented Immigrants Work
over Ventura County Gross
Domestics Products (GDP) by
Industry
Takeaways
The most significant
contribution of
undocumented immigrants is
towards agriculture, which
accounts for 57% of the total
value added in that industry.
Undocumented immigrants'
contribution towards Retail
Trade and Construction is
more than half a billion
dollars each.
Wholesale Trade and
Manufacturing have a
significant place when it
comes to the contribution of
undocumented immigrants in
Ventura County.
Undocumented immigrants
provide around 10% of other
services within the county.
Economic Impacts
Agriculture Construction Manufacturi
ng
Transportatio
n &
Warehousing
Wholesale
Trade Retail Trade
Finance,
Insurance
and Real
Estate
Professional
Services
Education &
Health
Services
Information Other
Services
Induced 2193 1023 1611 93 608 1206 160 654 226 108 595
Indirect 638 908 2264 108 831 987 232 494 123 288 218
Direct 12789 3530 3943 560 1464 5980 482 1802 966 499 3477
Undocumented Immigrants IMPLAN Employment Impact in
Ventura County
Direct Indirect Induced
Economic Impacts
Agriculture Construction Manufacturing
Transportation
&
Warehousing
Wholesale
Trade Retail Trade
Finance,
Insurance and
Real Estate
Professional
Services
Education &
Health
Services
Information Other Services
Induced $148,235,519 $69,133,053 $108,870,027 $6,312,361 $41,110,132 $81,478,053 $10,833,723 $44,203,463 $15,278,331 $7,264,235 $40,235,626
Indirect $42,961,733 $61,155,144 $159,422,255 $6,980,822 $56,874,062 $66,535,333 $17,036,577 $39,016,590 $9,178,494 $18,305,447 $15,704,582
Direct $631,419,328 $251,872,397 $335,895,982 $21,816,387 $130,792,167 $305,068,396 $31,662,026 $161,770,451 $60,818,992 $14,918,134 $165,340,988
Undocumented Immigrant IMPLAN Labor Income in Ventura County
Direct Indirect Induced
Tax Contribution
Takeaways
Some $333,408,405 has been
generated in social security by
undocumented immigrants
themselves and their employers,
which they can never see a dime of
because of their immigration status.
In brief, undocumented immigrants
collectively subsidize citizens
through the tax system because they
pay many of the same taxes but are
not eligible for many benefits –
including social security entitlement,
refundable tax credits, Pell grants,
student loans, and nutrition
programs.
$168,505,486
$150,309,905
$7,203,973 $7,389,040
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
$140,000,000
$160,000,000
$180,000,000
Employee Contribution ($175,709,460)Employer Contribution ($157,698,946)
Social Security and Other Payments that Undocumented
Immigrants Pay and Never Receive Back (Direct Impact Only)
($333,408,405)
Federal Tax - Employee Compensation State Tax
Tax Contribution
Takeaways
This chart provides more
information about the details of
taxes paid by undocumented
immigrants through their economic
impacts and purchasing power.
Overall, some $808,802,097 has
been generated in various forms of
taxation.
These taxes are paid to various
governments, and like other
structures of taxation in California, a
higher share of them goes to the
federal government.
Undocumented immigrants
contribute to the county and
subcounty levels in Ventura County.
There are far greater amounts of tax
that are paid to the county because
of the economic contribution of
undocumented immigrants through
the respective industries.
.
$168,505,486
$7,203,973
$150,309,905
$7,389,040
$346,707,892
$123,107,034
$3,312,644 $1,032,301 $304,264 $929,557
$-
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$250,000,000
$300,000,000
$350,000,000
$400,000,000
Federal Tax
($665,523,284)
State Tax
($141,012,692)
County Tax Sub County (General)Sub County (Special
Districts)
Social Security and Personal Taxes Paid by Undocumented
Immigrants by Tax Level (Direct Impact Only) ($808,802,097)
Social Insurance Tax - Employee Contribution ($175,709,460)
Social Insurance Tax - Employer Contribution ($157,698,946)
Personal Tax: Income Tax ($469,814,926)
Personal Tax: Other Tax Combined ($5,5578,765)
Tax Contribution
Takeaways
Undocumented immigrants contribute through their direct
contributions and other channels related to their work far more than
what they pay directly.
We estimated it to be slightly higher than $1.6 billion. The employer's
contribution is based on employees' work and should be considered a
genuine contribution by the employee in its real economic sense.
Employers' contribution towards social security is paid directly by
them and by their employees. Undocumented immigrants use various
ways of filing or paying without filing taxes. It is worth noting that
self-employed individuals are eligible for certain tax deductions related
to social security payments, which may affect the estimated tax
payment mentioned above.
According to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP),
various studies have estimated that between 50 and 75 percent of
undocumented immigrants currently pay personal income taxes using
either false Social Security (SSN) or individual tax identification
(ITIN) numbers.
According to IRS data, from 2015, the agency received 4.4 million
income tax returns from workers who don’t have Social Security
numbers, including many undocumented immigrants. In that year, they
paid $23.6 billion in income taxes. That doesn’t even include workers
who paid taxes with fake Social Security numbers on their W-2 forms,
which is also common.
Giving citizenship to undocumented immigrants increases tax revenue
through increased earnings and full compliance with the tax code.
$-
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$250,000,000
$300,000,000
$350,000,000
$400,000,000
Employee
Compensation
(Employee
Contribution)
Employee
Compensation
(Employer
Contribution)
Proprietor
Income
Tax on
Production and
Imports
Households Corporations
Undocumented Immigrants Tax Impact in
Its Largest Extent in Ventura County
Federal Taxes State Taxes County Taxes
Subcounty (General)Subcounty (Special Districts)
Tax Impact Through Various Industries
Agriculture Construction Manufacturing
Transportation
&
Warehousing
Wholesale
Trade Retail Trade
Finance,
Insurance and
Real Estate
Professional
Services
Education &
Health
Services
Information Other Services
Induced $35,888,803 $16,737,611 $26,358,019 $1,528,257 $9,952,971 $19,726,313 $2,622,938 $10,701,951 $3,698,958 $1,758,701 $9,741,406
Indirect $10,571,957 $15,143,239 $39,682,678 $1,728,607 $13,830,735 $16,118,721 $4,132,880 $9,403,397 $2,238,139 $4,483,203 $3,850,236
Direct $145,837,117 $57,809,314 $81,013,726 $5,231,034 $42,000,013 $75,607,479 $7,710,174 $36,682,734 $13,775,940 $3,925,678 $36,013,450
Undocumented Immigrants IMPLAN Federal Taxes in Ventura County
Direct Indirect Induced
Tax Impact Through Various Industries
Agriculture Construction Manufacturing
Transportation
&
Warehousing
Wholesale
Trade Retail Trade
Finance,
Insurance and
Real Estate
Professional
Services
Education &
Health
Services
Information Other Services
Induced $17,970,983 $8,380,358 $13,201,141 $765,413 $4,985,130 $9,879,039 $1,312,958 $5,358,896 $1,852,765 $881,006 $4,876,019
Indirect $5,375,756 $9,500,565 $22,702,546 $1,090,115 $6,565,570 $7,356,814 $1,975,205 $4,076,529 $1,056,750 $2,098,777 $1,976,294
Direct $45,243,701 $17,586,300 $36,796,135 $1,639,362 $127,938,199 $75,668,654 $4,186,335 $10,632,066 $3,274,123 $2,530,090 $19,284,628
Undocumented Immigrants IMPLAN State Taxes in Ventura County
Direct Indirect Induced
Tax Impact Through Various Industries
Agriculture Construction Manufacturing
Transportation
&
Warehousing
Wholesale
Trade Retail Trade
Finance,
Insurance and
Real Estate
Professional
Services
Education &
Health
Services
Information Other Services
Induced $4,459,488 $2,079,358 $3,276,542 $189,977 $1,237,392 $2,451,812 $325,690 $1,329,805 $459,906 $218,714 $1,209,481
Indirect $1,271,796 $2,805,676 $6,100,079 $319,455 $1,452,631 $1,532,852 $423,561 $805,344 $228,781 $455,635 $475,232
Direct $4,810,396 $1,551,897 $8,262,361 $144,677 $60,307,217 $29,579,043 $960,311 $1,069,938 $178,566 $740,549 $5,995,837
Undocumented Immigrants IMPLAN Local Taxes in Ventura County
Direct Indirect Induced
Tax Impact Through Various Industries
Takeaways
•Using IMPLAN helped us to go beyond basic tax data and measure the impact through the ripple
effects of economic activities. This allowed us to measure the direct tax contributions by businesses
and their employees, to the indirect tax revenue generated through the supply chain and household
spending.
•This includes taxes such as:
•Taxes remitted by businesses, such as employer-paid payroll taxes, sales taxes, property taxes,
excise taxes, severance taxes, corporate profits taxes, and more.
•Taxes paid by households, such as employee-paid payroll taxes, personal income taxes,
personal property taxes, and more.
•By breaking down the different types of taxes and their sources, we can understand how economic
events translate into public revenue.
•As can be deduced from the previous set of data, undocumented immigrants, through their presence
and work, contribute far more to the creation of taxes at every level of government.
•The data show that the majority of tax revenue ends up in the hands of the federal government.
•There are, however, tens of millions of dollars that end up going to the state, the county, and even
local governments.
Interconnectedness Between Undocumented
Immigrants and Every Resident in Ventura County
It is hard to imagine Ventura County and the well-being of its residents without its vibrant and resourceful
immigrants.
42% of undocumented families in Ventura County were born in the United States.
We need to think about the tragedy of separating children from their parents and other members of their
families.
Separation of family members is the greatest disinvestment in the lives of our children.
78.3% for more than 10 years 31% for more than 20 years, and even 9% for longer than 30 years
Undocumented workers are paid the lowest wage within the County.
The low pay contributes to a high proportion of lack of affordability for a dignified life in the County.
Undocumented immigrants in Ventura County contribute $3.3 billion directly towards the County’s GDP,
which accounts for 8.1% of its GDP.
Interconnectedness Between Undocumented
Immigrants and Every Resident in Ventura County
Considering the indirect and induced contribution to its total value added (county GDP), the amount
reaches $5.1 billion, or 12.3% of its total GDP, in 2022.
Some $333,408,405 has been generated in social security by undocumented immigrants themselves and
their employers, which they can never see a dime of because of their immigration status.
Overall, some $808,802,097 has been generated in various forms of taxation.
Undocumented immigrants contribute through their direct contributions and other channels related to their
work far more than what they pay directly.
We estimated it to be slightly higher than $1.6 billion. The employer's contribution is based on employees'
work and should be considered a genuine contribution by the employee in its true economic sense.
There is no doubt that undocumented immigrants are not a burden on the economy. On the contrary, they
accept the lowest pay, the most challenging jobs (mostly), and pay far more tax than they ever utilize any
services that the government provides.
Tens of thousands of them in Ventura County lived here for one or more decades, and some even longer
than three decades.
How to Help Now and Bring Possible Integration of
Undocumented Immigrants in California
Providing training for businesses, groups, and individuals on how to utilize their legal protection in support
of undocumented immigrants in facing ICE.
Learn from the successful practices that are already in place in some jurisdictions.
Directing efforts towards social and economic inclusion. Legal and financial support can be achieved
by creating financial facilities, educational possibilities, overcoming language barriers, and other
efforts to bring greater support.
Work towards changing the most apparent and damaging distances created through an image of an
undocumented immigrant in our communities. Learn the facts and separate them from fiction.
Be mindful of the fact that immigration and undocumented immigrants serve as scapegoats, and it is
rather unfortunate that undocumented immigrants are perceived as criminals and economic burdens on
society.
How to Bring Integration of Undocumented
Immigrants in California
As for the Near Future, Take the Following Steps
We need to look into a model of Anti-Oppressive Practice in the work that needs to be done.
The core of this approach is to break down and overcome the existing oppressive prevailing system
that brings isolation and disenfranchises those impacted. Oppression is pervasive and, for many,
hard to see or recognize
It helps us to understand the root of racism, sexism, and all existing forms of phobias.
This task should be a part of any DEIJ.
Bring Anti-Oppressive Practice in all DEIJs and use such an office to bring attention to the plight of
undocumented immigrants as an essential area of their focus.
Set up and engage the entire community in organizing and facilitating community hearings.
Involve law enforcement, relevant government offices, and non-profits in community conversations.
Look for resources and promote studies and data gathering on undocumented immigrants and their
social and economic impacts in every region and community.
Bring a much greater level of information gathering and dissemination about relevant issues and their
development within the states and its various geographic locations.
Help secure undocumented immigrants so they can feel protected and come out and have a more
significant presence in the life of their community.
The End
Thank You
Questions and Answers